Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1010.954196 1155.841018 1321.622266 1526.999726 1776.903192 2074.127098 2.458950e+03
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 790.598605 968.250816 1191.643721 1499.155915 1921.307520 2496.028813 3.366635e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 696.245273 889.437131 1147.162930 1527.213626 2093.820867 2944.201876 4.398078e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 635.209599 840.089570 1127.221417 1576.449358 2297.268813 3481.720563 5.762509e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 579.993435 788.364637 1092.138796 1591.054433 2442.958386 3958.889829 7.218129e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 527.199867 732.332402 1040.981801 1568.433497 2517.272368 4326.433622 8.626400e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 494.774602 702.187512 1024.249843 1597.264327 2685.503684 4920.158396 1.086687e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 451.346139 650.190645 965.847150 1543.847347 2685.769344 5164.662555 1.237295e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 416.210915 607.797459 918.162962 1501.869943 2698.939239 5441.278518 1.416159e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 384.883512 568.710705 871.807074 1455.412796 2692.904597 5670.939036 1.598166e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 375.518677 564.627969 884.733732 1523.371387 2948.896969 6657.292564 2.144953e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 362.796505 553.643918 884.045234 1563.904071 3152.290909 7590.765392 2.792465e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 347.387260 537.969239 875.401823 1591.772284 3346.216950 8637.470462 3.702275e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 326.332002 510.940257 843.362096 1566.097511 3402.041882 9287.506971 4.541419e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 314.006249 498.226552 836.849577 1595.018264 3611.529041 10607.821368 6.241101e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 305.261603 491.167311 840.407348 1647.367688 3904.395728 12471.480759 9.261489e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 293.413483 477.391203 829.094937 1662.812441 4094.006223 14063.733139 1.305384e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 278.811016 457.380377 803.196668 1638.840956 4154.364364 15115.619516 1.701197e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 270.387974 448.447504 799.304356 1669.402951 4405.584014 17400.977045 2.657105e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 255.091564 425.300370 763.491173 1612.784159 4341.499116 17878.522615 3.239277e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 241.986572 405.650887 733.667417 1568.316288 4311.530488 18574.918371 4.107685e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 229.459786 386.442349 703.409706 1519.130237 4253.535729 19075.353164 5.108353e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 227.215934 387.329407 716.964916 1591.090469 4680.822023 23484.557471 1.175989e+06